{"id":5144,"date":"2017-07-04T07:36:23","date_gmt":"2017-07-04T07:36:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/historiografija.hr\/?p=5144"},"modified":"2017-07-04T07:37:01","modified_gmt":"2017-07-04T07:37:01","slug":"unstable-political-regimes-and-wars-as-drivers-of-international-migration","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/historiografija.hr\/?p=5144","title":{"rendered":"Unstable Political Regimes and Wars as Drivers of International Migration"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>U Institutu za isto\u010dno- i jugoisto\u010dnoeuropske studije u Regensburgu (6.VII.2017) Martin Guzi odr\u017eat \u0107e predavanje o uzrocima me\u0111unarodnih migracija u povijesnoj i suvremenoj perspektivi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Institut f\u00fcr Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropaforschung<\/strong><br \/>\nRegensburg<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unstable Political Regimes and Wars as Drivers of International Migration<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ein Vortrag von Martin Guzi (Masaryk University, Brno) im Rahmen der Seminarreihe des AB \u00d6konomie am IOS.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Datum: 6. Juli 2017<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Zeit: 13.30 Uhr<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ort: WiOS, Landshuter Str. 4 (Raum 109)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>This paper contributes to literature on the determinants of international migration by focusing on whether migration flows respond to political conditions in origin and destination and to political violence, armed conflict and wars. Within standard migration theory, political instability acts as push factors in origins. We expect that people are more likely to emigrate from authoritarian regimes and origins affected by ethnic conflicts and wars in search for a better life. To investigate these hypotheses, we combine: (1) annual data on international migration flows and stocks in 42 destination countries from 223 countries of origin for the period 1980-2010 and UN\/world Bank migration data obtained from changes in stocks of foreign population across (decennial) censuses from 160 origin\/destinations; (2) data on wars, coup d\u2019\u00e9tat, revolutions and democratic regimes from different sources; (3) controls of socio-cultural-economic conditions in origins and destinations, and political rights and naturalization regimes for the years 1965-2010. Preliminary findings confirm that political instability in the sending countries triggers the outflow of people and the effect of violence varies with the kind and intensity of war and internal conflicts. These outcomes are robust to the choice of indicators &#8212; particularly for long-lasting and high intense ethnic conflicts.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ios-regensburg.de\/aktuelles\/details\/unstable-political-regimes-and-wars-as-drivers-of-international-migration\/period\/2017\/july.html\">http:\/\/www.ios-regensburg.de\/aktuelles\/details\/unstable-political-regimes-and-wars-as-drivers-of-international-migration\/period\/2017\/july.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1845,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-novosti"],"acf":{"facebook_opis":""},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/historiografija.hr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Regensburg-e1488124399592.gif?fit=300%2C225&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":52580,"url":"https:\/\/historiografija.hr\/?p=52580","url_meta":{"origin":5144,"position":0},"title":"Conference &#8220;Living in the aftermaths: Trauma, politics and survival in Yugoslavia and successor states, 1945 \u2013 present&#8221;","author":"Branimir Jankovi\u0107","date":"21. travnja 2026.","format":false,"excerpt":"The conference aims to explore how war-related psychological distress was experienced, narrated, debated and reframed in Yugoslavia in the second half of the twentieth century. 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